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We characterize the restrictions imposed by the minimal I(2)-to-I(1) transformation that underlies much applied work, e.g. on money demand relationships or open-economy pricing relationships. The relationship between the parameters of the original I(2) vector autoregression, including the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070668
when iterated gives maximum likelihood estimates of cointegration effects. Most important, the algorithm can handle … different levels of cointegration, over-identified systems, breaks in trend, and complicated specifications for the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071416
significant at 1%. The asymmetric cointegration relationship shows that 1% negative shock to the reserve results in about 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348439
Structural VAR and Structural VEC models were estimated for Chile and Colombia, aiming at identifying fiscal policy shocks in both countries between 1990 and 2005. The impulse responses obtained allow the calculation of a peso-for-peso ($/$) effect on output of a shock to public spending and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110678
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141469
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094836
In this study, we attempt to examine the possibility of emergence of significant fluctuations of the exchange rates in the future for the candidate EMU countries. In doing so, we estimate the equilibrium rate of the nominal effective exchange rate for Poland, Hungary, Slovak Republic and Malta...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040043
roots and cointegration. Sequential testing methods are examined; these test for cointegration and use either a differenced … testing as well as by model selection criteria. We find that the current practice of pretesting for cointegration can result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005839151
Reduced rank regression procedures in error correction models (ECM's) permit consistent estimation of the cointegration … space but do not provide consistent estimates of individual structural relations when the dimension of the cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762598
We empirically model the growth of the Italian government on a long historical dataset, starting from the country's unification. Our findings point to the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product and government spending, that is robust to different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767554