Showing 1 - 10 of 779,498
This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between the "unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t" and its estimator, is made clear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318721
This paper addresses some issues concerning the definition and measurement of inflation persistence in the context of … assumption for the long run level of inflation and that such long run level should be allowed to vary through time. Second, a non …-parametric measure of persistence is suggested which explores the relation between persistence and mean reversion. Third, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604417
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which reflects relatively long lags between inflation and wage adjustments. Endogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
Whittle estimation method, the research examines the longmemory properties of headline inflation through monthly data from … January 1996 to January 2023. The study expands upon existing knowledge of inflation persistence by exploring its changes and … the various patterns of inflation persistence in Europe. The findings reveal significant differences in the persistence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446863
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function … inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation persistence during the period 1975 …) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758155
I analyze the relationship between two stylized empirical facts for stock returns: Unconditional long-term mean reversion and predictability by variables such as the dividend-price ratio or the short-term interest rate. In particular, I show that if one imposes that returns satisfy long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942532
Recent studies on general equilibrium models with transaction costs show that the dynamics of the real exchange rate are necessarily nonlinear. Our contribution to the literature on nonlinear price adjustment mechanisms is threefold. First, we model the real exchange rate by a Multi-Regime...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014071197
This paper analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15, the euro area and each of its member states using … moderate degree of median and mean inflation persistence. For most price indices we are able to reject the unit root hypothesis …, as well as the notion of disaggregate inflation exhibiting a high degree of persistence. Durable goods and services tend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604461
looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604831