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This paper elaborates on the alternative measure of persistence recently suggested in Marques (2004), which is based on the idea of mean reversion. A formal distinction between the "unconditional probability of a given process not crossing its mean in period t" and its estimator, is made clear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318721
This paper addresses some issues concerning the definition and measurement of inflation persistence in the context of … assumption for the long run level of inflation and that such long run level should be allowed to vary through time. Second, a non …-parametric measure of persistence is suggested which explores the relation between persistence and mean reversion. Third, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604417
This paper analyses the stochastic behaviour of Private Equity returns (a measure of profitability) applying fractional integration methods to an extensive dataset including quarterly data spanning the last four decades for various geographical areas (US, Europe, Asia/Pacific, the Rest of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285647
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
exhibit a higher degree of persistence, which reflects relatively long lags between inflation and wage adjustments. Endogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417630
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function … inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation persistence during the period 1975 …) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008758155
Whittle estimation method, the research examines the longmemory properties of headline inflation through monthly data from … January 1996 to January 2023. The study expands upon existing knowledge of inflation persistence by exploring its changes and … the various patterns of inflation persistence in Europe. The findings reveal significant differences in the persistence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014446863
The persistence property of inflation is an important issue for not only economists, but, especially for central banks …, given that the degree of inflation persistence determines the extent to which central banks can control inflation. Further …, not only is the level of inflation persistence that is important in economic analyses, but also the question of whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045937
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183200
Based on two hundred years of annual data of the Netherlands , Germany , US and Japan we analyse the mean reversion of long-term interest rates, by unit root tests over rolling windows and taking into account structural breaks and regime changes. While short-term rates and the yield curve tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119069