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helps overall macroeconomic stability by making expectations operate like automatic stabilizers. Second, under a price level … arguments in favour of or against price level path stability depend on the degree of dependence of private sector expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775989
This paper analyzes how the formation of expectations constrains monetary and fiscal policy design. Economic agents … the policy regime using historical data. Regime uncertainty substantially narrows, relative to a rational expectations … analysis of the model, the menu of policies consistent with expectations stabilization. When agents are learning about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283550
agents have perfectly rational expectations, is unstable if in fact these agents follow standard adaptive learning rules …. This problem can be overcome if private expectations are observed and suitably incorporated into the policy maker's optimal … observed household and firm expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014134547
agents have perfectly rational expectations, is unstable if in fact these agents follow standard adaptive learning rules …. This problem can be overcome if private expectations are observed and suitable incorporated into the policy maker's optimal … observed household and firm expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075826
agents have perfectly rational expectations, is unstable if in fact these agents follow standard adaptive learning rules …. This problem can be overcome if private expectations are observed and suitably incorporated into the policy maker's optimal … observed household and firm expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114944
​We examine global dynamics under infinite-horizon learning in New Keynesian models where monetary policy practices either price-level or nominal GDP targeting and compare these regimes to inflation targeting. These interest-rate rules are subject to the zero lower bound. Robustness of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059492
processing rate. Although a decline of policy activism directly increases output volatility, it indirectly anchors expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005090727
This paper develops an adaptive learning formulation of an extension to the Ball, Mankiw and Reis (2005) sticky information model that incorporates endogenous inattention. We show that, following an exogenous increase in the policymaker's preferences for price vs. output stability, the learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196104
processing rate. Although a decline of policy activism directly increases output volatility, it indirectly anchors expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593745
Keynesian model. We find that slightly departing from rational expectations substantially changes the way the central bank deals … (output gap) today or stabilizing it tomorrow. The central bank should optimally anchoring private agents expectations in the … short term in exchange of easier future intratemporal trade-offs. Compared to the rational expectations equilibrium, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292350