Showing 151 - 160 of 783,265
This paper leverages a novel survey among German senior government officials to investigate fiscal responses to monetary policy shocks. Using randomized vignette treatments, we present officials with scenarios of increased government interest costs and analyze their expected fiscal adjustments....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015053809
We provide evidence on narratives about the macroeconomy-the stories people tell to explain macroeconomic phenomena-in the context of a historic surge in inflation. In surveys with more than 10,000 US households and 100 academic experts, we measure economic narratives in open-ended survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015057525
We study the effects of monetary-policy-induced changes in Tobin's q on corporate investment and capital structure. We develop a theory of the mechanism, provide empirical evidence, evaluate the ability of the quantitative theory to match the evidence, and quantify the relevance for monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210051
economy where: (i) private agents have incomplete information and form their expectations using recursive learning algorithms … their target level and (iii) the central bank, ignoring the exact mechanism used by private agents to form expectations … case, in order to stabilize expectations and to speed up the learning process the response of the policy instrument to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131264
Survey of Professional Forecasters as a measure of price setters' inflation expectations. This model improves upon existing … perfect information models in explaining why, in the data, inflation expectations respond with delays to monetary impulses and …, explaining why inflation and inflation expectations were so persistently heightened. The signaling effects of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979125
Time-variation in disagreement about inflation expectations is a stylized fact in surveys, but little is known on how … inflation and inflation expectations, whereas both decline when disagreement is low. Estimating a smooth-transition model on U ….S. data shows significantly different responses in inflation and inflation expectations consistent with theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944244
I study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. The model generates term premia that are on average positive with sizable countercyclical variation that arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254949
bank signals? This paper hypothesises that sharing information among investors can improve expectations, especially in the … expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257808
How do varying degrees of information frictions affect the transmission mechanism of monetary policy? Using non‑linear methods, I empirically find that during heightened disagreement, monetary policy has a smaller effect on inflation, yet more influence over output. As a proxy for information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257820
This paper derives a general New Keynesian framework consistent with heterogeneous expectations by explicitly solving … available, while other agents have rational expectations. We then address determinacy issues related to the use of different … feedback system in which macroeconomic variables and heterogeneous expectations co-evolve over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014171066