Hommes, Cars H.; Mavromatis, Kostas; Özden, Tolga; Zhu, Mei - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 4, pp. 1401-1445
Rational Expectations (REE), BLE, and constant gain learning models shows that the BLE model outperforms the REE benchmark and …-autocorrelation learning of optimal AR(1) beliefs provides the best fit when short-term survey data on inflation expectations are taken into … account in the estimation. As a policy application, we show that optimal Taylor rules under AR(1) expectations inherit history …