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The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation … interest rate rules when agents have heterogeneous expectations and update their beliefs based on past performance as in Brock … converge to the rational expectations equilibrium as multiple equilibria may persist, even when a fully rational, but costly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325843
intertemporal trade-off, not present under rational expectations: it is optimal to forego stabilizing the economy in the present in … actually has rational expectations is much smaller than if the central bank mistakenly assumes rational expectations when in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271452
This paper examines the performance of forecast-based nonlinear Taylor rules in a class of simple microfunded models. The paper shows that even if the policy rule leads to a locally determinate (and stable) inflation target, there exist other learnable 'global' equilibria such as cycles and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283458
Central bank communication plays an important role in shaping market participants' expectations. This paper studies a … helps stabilize expectations around the inflation target equilibrium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283511
Central bank communication plays an important role in shaping market participants’ expectations. This paper studies a … helps stabilize expectations around the inflation target equilibrium. -- Monetary policy ; nonlinear dynamics ; learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781685
This paper analyzes how the formation of expectations constrains monetary and fiscal policy design. Economic agents … the policy regime using historical data. Regime uncertainty substantially narrows, relative to a rational expectations … analysis of the model, the menu of policies consistent with expectations stabilization. When agents are learning about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781690
This paper presents a model in which price setting firms decide what to pay attention to, subject to a constraint on information flow. When diosyncratic conditions are more variable or more important than aggregate conditions, firms pay more attention to idiosyncratic conditions than to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831778
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003863200
We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention by households and firms. Consumption responds slowly to interest rate changes because households decide to pay little attention to the real interest rate. Prices respond quickly to some shocks and slowly to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009006631
We study optimal monetary policy in an environment in which firms' pricing and production decisions are subject to informational frictions. Our framework accommodates multiple formalizations of these frictions, including dispersed private information, sticky information, and certain forms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489131