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We analyze the relationship between asset prices and current account positions estimating a Bayesian VAR for a broad set of 42 industrialized and emerging market countries. To derive model-based identifying restrictions, we model asset price shocks as news shocks about future productivity in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680756
in 1974-2007. It uses a Bayesian VAR with sign restrictions for the identification of asset price shocks and to test … ; identification ; Bayesian VAR ; financial markets ; industrialized economies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831797
This paper analyses the role of asset prices in comparison to other factors, in particular exchange rates, as a driver of the US trade balance. It employs a Bayesian structural VAR model that requires imposing only a minimum of economically meaningful sign restrictions. We find that equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604836
in 1974-2007. It uses a Bayesian VAR with sign restrictions for the identification of asset price shocks and to test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002779
in 1974-2007. It uses a Bayesian VAR with sign restrictions for the identification of asset price shocks and to test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765189
This paper is motivated by the controversial issue in the literature pertaining to the impact of real exchange rate, housing prices and stock prices on current account fluctuations. Thailand's quarterly data are used to examine the impacts of shocks to asset prices and real exchange rate on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967437
This paper analyses the role of asset prices in comparison to other factors, in particular exchange rates, as a driver of the US trade balance. It employs a Bayesian structural VAR model that requires imposing only a minimum of economically meaningful sign restrictions. We find that equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008502576
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197469
The volume collects the essays presented at the 15th Workshop on Public Finance organised by Banca d'Italia in Perugia from 4 to 6 April 2013. The workshop focused on the link between fiscal policy and macroeconomic imbalances and comprised four sessions. The first session concentrated on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011277938
Recent episodes of large exchange rate movements, such as for Japan or the United Kingdom, have typically not been associated with large changes in trade balances and despite the polarisation of international investment positions large currency fluctuations during the global crisis of 2008-09...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011392842