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Panel Probit model over the period 1980-2007. It finds that 1) most recent housing booms have been very persistent and of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003867077
This paper examines the effects of a mortgage interest rate subsidy on booms and busts in the housing market by analyzing the Housing Mortgage program in Mongolia. We find that the most recent housing boom in Mongolia occurred from the second quarter (Q2) of 2012 to first quarter (Q1) of 2014,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329305
The main aim of this paper is to identify the underlying reasons for the cyclical nature of the Hungarian housing market, in particular the business cycles, the construction, and market participants' expectations. Our research was conducted based on analysis of statistical data and of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012020532
Panel Probit model over the period 1980-2007. It finds that 1) most recent housing booms have been very persistent and of a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158164
In this paper we seek to understand the recent dynamics of the Brazilian housing market, which experienced a significant growth in recent years. In particular, we assess the effects of aggregate productivity and monetary policy shocks on housing market variables. Moreover, we also investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171072
This paper presents a simple disequilibrium model in the primary housing market, calibrated to the Warsaw market. Our aim is to point out that the primary housing market, due to the long construction process is always in disequilibrium, which has important policy implications. We discuss the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982718
Rents have been proposed as a fundamental determinant of house prices, and indeed deviations from a purported stable relationship between rents and prices have been used as measures of housing market froth, or bubbles. However, previous research has demonstrated that rents and prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349811
In light of the strong increase of house prices in Switzerland, we analyze the effects of mortgage rate shocks, changes in the interplay between housing demand and supply and GDP growth on house prices for the time period 1981- 2014. We employ Bayesian time-varying coefficients vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010526684
We use a time-varying parameter dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility (DFM-TV-SV) estimated using Bayesian methods to disentangle the relative importance of the common component in FHFA house price movements from state-specific shocks, over the quarterly period of 1975Q2 to 2017Q4. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012229804
The co-movement of buyers and vacancies, i.e. the Beveridge Curve, is a key determinant of the cyclical properties of the housing market. It determines the sign of the correlation between prices and key measures of liquidity such as vacancies (i.e. houses for sale), sales, and time-to-sell. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211185