Li (2011) proposes a quarterly earnings prediction model for loss generating firms, shows that it produces better specified future earnings estimates relative to naïve quarterly forecast models, and that it can be used to form a trading strategy that produces economically significant annual...

Prior studies attribute the future excess return patterns of R&D firms to either compensation for increased risk from R&D or to mispricing by investors. We suggest a third explanation for the future excess returns of R&D firms. We show that neither the level of R&D investment nor the change in...

Asset pricing theory notes that different types of investor uncertainty can have directionally different effects on cost of equity. Empirical studies of costs of equity, however, generally assume that different types of uncertainty are independent or have the same directional effect. We relax...

There are several explanations for why accruals persist into earnings at lower rates than cash flows. These include that accruals contain estimation error, diminishing returns to investment, and product-markets shocks. We predict that the mixed attribute GAAP measurement model along with the...

This study examines the differential predictive power of past earnings volatility for analyst forecast errors and future returns. Past earnings volatility jointly captures two correlated, but distinct, earnings properties: time-series earnings variation and uncertainty in future earnings. To...