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This paper provides the first assessment of the contribution of idiosyncratic shocks to aggregate fluctuations in an emerging market using confidential data on the universe of Chilean firms. We find that idiosyncratic shocks account for more than 40 percent of the volatility of aggregate sales....
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In contrast with well known theoretical and empirical results, this model shows that no externalities, no (even mild) increasing returns, no variable capacity utilization, no variable effort, no consumption habit formation are needed for demand shocks to explain the main aspects of actual...
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identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news … shock and that shock transmission has changed over time. Specifically, the behavior of hours worked is notably different … shock propagation. …
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How does access to credit impact consumption volatility? Theory and evidence from advanced economies suggests that greater household access to finance smooths consumption. Evidence from emerging markets, where consumption is usually more volatile than income, indicates that financial reform...
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The risk premium puzzle is even worse than previously reported if housing is also taken into consideration next to equity. While housing premia are only moderately smaller than equity premia, they are significantly less volatile and the Sharpe ratio of housing is significantly larger. Hence,...
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