Brune, Amelie; Hens, Thorsten; Rieger, Marc; Wang, Mei - In: International Review of Economics 62 (2015) 1, pp. 1-21
We study stock market reactions to large international military conflicts since World War II. Using a news analysis proxy for the estimated likelihood that a conflict will result in a war, we find that an increase in the war likelihood tends to decrease stock prices, but the ultimate outbreak of...