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In January 2009, the Slovak Republic will adopt the euro and become the 16th member of the euro area. This paper investigates the implications of euro adoption in the Slovak Republic for inflation and interest rates with an attempt to quantify their likely size as well as their consequences for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446794
We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009240852
We investigate the e ect of monetary policy on European macroeconomic variables using a small-scale vector autoregression (VAR) and the "Effective Monetary Stimulus" (EMS). The EMS is a monetary policy metric obtained from yield curve data that is designed to consistently reflect the overall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578396
We propose an arbitrage-free shadow-rate term structure model to analyze the euro-area yield curve from 1999 to mid-2015, when bond yields turned negative at various maturities. In the model the 'shadow rate' can reach any positive or negative level, while the actual one-month rate cannot fall...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011532627
-ins for monetary union with respect to Germany. Using tests for cointegration and common features for monthly data during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474986
We study the intraday interest rate in a CCP-based GC pooling repo market and its key determinants. Since collateral used in this market is identical to collateral eligible for the daylight overdraft facility of the Eurosystem, any intraday rate in this market cannot be a result of collateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011308459
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426492
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590044
The paper investigates the information content of the German term structure regarding inflation, defined as the ability of the yield cure's slope to predict future changes in inflationrates. The empirical tests show that the German yield curve is informative in that sense, especially in its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014137242
inflation and real interest rates in Germany, using monthly data starting in 1967:1. The central results are twofold. First, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014221652