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Using stochastic simulations and stability analysis, the paper compares how different monetary rules perform in a moderately nonlinear model with a time-varying nonaccelerating-inflation-rate-of-unemployment (NAIRU). Rules that perform well in linear models but implicitly embody backward-looking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317691
This paper develops a New-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (NKDSGE) model for forecasting the growth rate of output, inflation, and the nominal short-term interest rate (91 days Treasury Bill rate) for the South African economy. The model is estimated via maximum likelihood...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138053
uncertainty. Although the recent literature has recognized adverse real effects of global uncertainty shocks in EMEs, the role of … real) and monetary policy in amplifying/ stabilizing the real effects of global uncertainty shocks in a small open economy …. We reproduce stylized facts showing significant movements in exchange rates when EMEs are hit with a global uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827002
This paper describes the Macedonian Policy Analysis Model (MAKPAM), which is used at the National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia (NBRM) for medium term macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis. The MAKPAM is a medium scale, New Keynesian gap model that incorporates the key...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623918
China's economy underwent a steady recovery in 2021. Investment grew steadily with structural improvement. Exports and imports surged while trade surplus expanded. On the other hand, although labor market conditions improved, income distribution worsened, contributing to sluggish growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013454213
the year, rising income uncertainty set off by the pandemic shock continued depressing household consumption and housing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288667
Bruun and Heyn-Johnsen (2009) state the paradox that economics has failed to provide a satisfactory explanation of how monetary profits are generated, even though the generation of a physical surplus is an established aspect of non-neoclassical economics. They emphasise that our ability to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135068
Bruun and Heyn-Johnsen (2009) state the paradox that economics has failed to provide a satisfactory explanation of how monetary profits are generated, even though the generation of a physical surplus is an established aspect of non-neoclassical economics. They emphasise that our ability to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668193
Bruun and Heyn-Johnsen (2009) state the paradox that economics has failed to provide a satisfactory explanation of how monetary profits are generated, even though the generation of a physical surplus is an established aspect of non-neoclassical economics. They emphasise that our ability to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003914175
Bruun and Heyn-Johnsen (2009) state the paradox that economics has failed to provide a satisfactory explanation of how monetary profits are generated, even though the generation of a physical surplus is an established aspect of non-neoclassical economics. They emphasise that our ability to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210305