Aktualisierte Informationen über die zukünftige Entwicklung der Bevölkerung sind für viele ökonomische Fragestellungen relevant. Die stochastische Bevölkerungsprognose des Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft Köln berücksichtigt deshalb die Rekordzuwanderung des Jahres 2015 und die sich...

This paper aims at assessing the robustness of demographic projections to different assumptions on mortality, fertility and migration. It builds on a small-scale simulation model for 23 OECD countries, which reproduces closely national projections under similar demographic assumptions. Up to...

This paper aims at assessing the robustness of demographic projections to different assumptions on mortality, fertility and migration. It builds on a small-scale simulation model for 23 OECD countries, which reproduces closely national projections under similar demographic assumptions. Up to...

The study analyses the demographic changes in five countries of the Western Balkans - Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia - which are associated with and are potential candidates for European Union (EU) member states. Due to a lack of data, Kosovo was...

The aim of this paper is to show possible consequences of changes in labor force participation of women and the connection between fertility and labor force participation on the future demographic and economic development in Germany. For this purpose a projection model based on micro-data...

Demographic projections for Germany indicate a drop in the population of many regions by 2030. This is likely to have an impact on the real estate market. Our report presents the result of a model calculation of asking prices for residential real estate in Germany up to 2030 based on market data...

The aim of this paper is twofold: First, it provides an overview of the socio-demographic core modules of the dynamic microsimulation model microWELT. Second, it describes the essential socio-demographic characteristics of four European countries - Austria, Spain, Finland, and UK as...