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inflation. We find that based on a cointegrated VAR model there is a positive long-run relationship between inflation and the … found does not sufficiently take into account changes in policy settings following the high inflation experiences in the 1970 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963913
This paper investigates the consequences of population aging and of changes in the education composition of the population for macroeconomic performance. Estimation results from a theoretically founded empirical framework show that aging as well as the education composition of the population...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930455
This paper considers how increasing longevity and declining birth rates affect market entry and endogenous productivity growth in a two-country model of trade. In each country, the demographic transition to an older population induces a contraction in the labor force through a decline in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404477
We quantify the development of the potential labour force in Germany from 2014 to 2050 and pose the question as to which extent migration will be able to offset the well-known negative demographic influence. The mean overall results of this long period of time show that while migration may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011427859
This paper addresses the importance of compositional changes in the labor force for the development of the wage distribution. Demographic change and higher educational attainment imply a shift toward employees with more experience and/or better education. These groups are characterized by higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010429242
The demographic change influences the composition of the labor force in terms of a decreasing number of the workforce, its age structure, the quantitative relationship between men and women such as the proportion between people with migration background and native citizens. The new diversity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011297765
This paper examines the extent to which changes in working-age shares associated with population aging might slow economic growth in upcoming years. We first analyze the economic effects of changing working-age shares in a standard empirical growth model using country panel data from 1950-2015....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337818
founded in macroeconomic theory, the corresponding empirical results have been rather tenuous. Demographic interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013257460
This paper introduces the age structure of the population into the analysis of medium term unemployment swings. We incorporate age-related features into the Shapiro-Stiglitz shirking model and find that the observed age pattern of unemployment can be explained in terms of the model. Moreover, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014075453
. This shock is now reversing. As the world ages, real interest rates will rise, inflation and wage growth will pick up and … major inflation. Are we in a trap where the debt overhang enforces continuing low interest rates, and those low interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950258