Excessive borrowing of local governments in China sparked concerns that the debt may threaten the financial stability of the economy and ultimately cause economic collapse. It becomes critically important to understand the credit rating of China's LFGV bonds and the association between the...

This study investigates whether banks and insurance corporations perform regulatory arbitrage by buying bonds with inflated credit ratings. We argue that credit rating based capital requirements incentivize banks and insurance corporations to hold more bonds with inflated credit ratings. We...

This paper provides evidence of ratings shopping in the corporate bond market. By estimating systematic differences in agencies' biases about any given firm's bonds, I show that new bonds are more likely to be rated by agencies that are positively biased towards the firm---a pattern that is...

This article offers a critical overview and analysis of the implications of ESMA's interpretation of the concepts of credit ratings and credit rating agencies underlying ESMA's decisions of 11 July 2018 to fine five Scandinavian banks for issuing credit ratings without being registered as credit...

The dependency of the individual default behavior of a firm on the state of the credit cycle is widely implemented in credit portfolio models and ultimately reflected in the Basel II one-factor model determining capital requirements. Despite this, macroeconomic variables able to represent this...

Despite intense criticism, agency credit ratings are still widely used in regulation and risk management. One possible alternative is to replace them with quantitative default risk measures. For US data, I find that systemically relevant losses from corporate defaults are mostly smaller if...

We observe 180 upgrades, in contrast to two downgrades, among 657 Chinese banks during 2015-2017. Evidence shows that the upgrades were results of compromised rating standard rather than improvements to bank fundamentals. Investors reacted negatively to the upgrades, especially those granted by...

A rater is paid by a seller, observes a signal about the seller's product, and issues a public cheap-talk rating for potential buyers. I characterize the partition of the rater's information into ratings issued following public payments from the seller to the rater, and ratings issued when the...

We develop a rational expectations model in which an issuer purchases credit ratings sequentially, deciding which to disclose to investors. Opacity about contacts between the issuer and rating agencies induces potential asymmetric information about which ratings the issuer obtained. While the...

We test whether ratings are comparable across asset classes over a 30-year sample. We examine default rates by initial rating, accuracy ratios, migration metrics, instantaneous upgrade and downgrade intensities, and rating changes over bonds' entire lives in multivariate regressions. These...