The time series nature of repeated surveys is seldom taken into account. The few studies that take this into account usually smooth the period-wise estimates without using the cross sectional information. This leads to inefficient estimation. I present a statistical model of repeated surveys and...

Known results on the identification of structural duration dependence in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity depend crucially on the proportional hazards assumption. Here, I show that variation in covariates over time, combined with variation across observations, is sufficient to ensure...

The paper examines the causal relationship between FDI and economic growth by using an innovative econometric methodology to study the direction of causality between the two variables. We apply our methodology, based on the Toda-Yamamoto test for causality, to time-series data covering the...

This paper uses a job duration model based on linked employeremployee data over the period 1989-1998 with an emphasis on the job mobility of the highly educated. It is shown that the job mobility of all prime age workers is sensitive to pecuniary incentives. However, wages as a whole include...

Estimation of signals at the current boundary of time series is an important task in many practical applications. In order to apply the symmetric filter at current time, model-based approaches typically rely on forecasts generated from a time series model in order to extend (stretch) the time...

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...

We introduce a time series model that captures both long memory and conditional heteroskedasticity and assess their ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation and uses a normal mixture GARCH process to...

We use real-time annual data on the fiscal balance, government current spending, current revenues and net capital outlays as published at a half yearly frequency in the OECD Economic Outlook for 25 OECD countries. For each fiscal year t we have a number of forecasts, a first release, and...