I use Bayesian VARs to forecast global temperatures anomalies until the end of the XXI century by exploiting their cointegration with the Joint Radiative Forcing (JRF) of the drivers of climate change. Under a ‘no change’ scenario, the most favorable median forecast predicts the land...

This paper, in its exploratory nature, develops a descriptive empirical analysis which tries to capture the "regularities" underlying the relationship between the economy, fossil energy use and anthropogenic air pollutants at business cycle frequency. The analysis uses as framework the economy...

This study quantifies the air quality impact on population mortality from an actuarial perspective, considering implications to the industry through the application of findings. The study focuses on the increase in mortality from air quality changes due to extreme weather impacts. We conduct an...