An enduring dynamic of the twentieth century is the dramatic expansion of global trade with increased partners, goods, frequency and volumes. Most trade explanations such as the Heckscher-Ohlin, new trade theory, gravity models, and Ricardo and Sraffa focus on how bilateral import and export...

Technical, environment, social, economic and political constraints are critical barriers to the development of new renewable energy supplies. SEMPro is an agent-based, predictive analytics model of energy siting policy in the techno-social space that simulates how competing interests shape...

Combining a system dynamic and agent based modeling approach, we formalize a simulation framework of the Human Development (HD) perspective. First, we build on Abdollahian et al. (2012) system dynamic asymmetric, coupled nonlinear differential equations that capture the core logic of HD theory,...

Advanced analytics are an integral inferential component for knowledge discovery and dissemination. We employ network metrics on relational variables of interest to control for econometric estimation bias, inefficiency and inferential problems from non-spherical, network induced disturbances in...

This paper finds that short-maturity Treasury-bill yields have unique information about risk premiums that is not spanned by long-maturity Treasury-bond yields. I estimate two components of risk premiums: one is for long-term and the other is for short-term. The long-term component steepens the...

Combining system dynamics and agent based modeling approach (Abdollahian et al 2013), I formalize a simulation framework of the Politics of Fertility and Economic Development (POFED). First, I validate Feng et al (2'007 system dynamics model with the latest relative political capacity...