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A joint model of commodity price and interest rate risk is constructed analogously to the multi-currency LIBOR Market Model (LMM). Going beyond a simple “re-interpretation” of the multi-currency LMM, issues arising in the application of the model to actual commodity market data are...
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Does modelling stochastic interest rates, beyond stochastic volatility, improve pricing performanceon long … stochastic volatility and stochastic interestrates and a correlation structure between the underlying variables. We examine the … on long-dated crude oil derivatives, when the interest rate volatility is relatively high. Furthermore, increasing the …
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model with a time-dependent stochastic local volatility function allowing the model to simultaneously fit the implied … volatility surfaces of commodity and interest rate options. Since liquid market prices are only available for options on … volatility smiles is constructed. Finally, the model is fitted to an exogenously given correlation structure between forward …
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two regimes, which we associate with low and high return volatility. High volatility regimes are, as expected …
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We investigate the out-of-sample, recursive predictive accuracy for (fully hedged) commodity future returns of two sets of forecasting models, i.e., hidden Markov chain models in which the coefficients of predictive regressions follow a regime switching process and stepwise variable selection...
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