We study the joint time-series of daily liquidity in government bond and stock markets over the period 1991 to 1998. Innovations in liquidity are positively and significantly correlated across stock and bond markets. Further, order imbalances in the stock market impact bond and stock liquidity,...

This paper examines the cross-sectional implications of the inflation illusion hypothesis for the post-earnings-announcement drift. The inflation illusion hypothesis, which was proposed by Modigliani and Cohn (1979), suggests that stock market investors fail to incorporate inflation in...

This paper derives and implements a framework in which to test whether conditional asset pricing models, applied to single securities, can explain the size, value, turnover, and momentum effects in expected stock returns. In this framework individual stock betas vary with firm level size and...

This paper examines whether earnings momentum and price momentum are related. Both in time-series as well as in cross-sectional asset pricing tests, we find that price momentum is captured by the systematic component of earnings momentum. The predictive power of past returns is subsumed by a...

This paper studies the relation between order imbalances and daily returns of individual stocks. Our tests are motivated by a theoretical framework, whose distinguishing feature is that it explicitly considers how market makers with inventory concerns dynamically accommodate autocorrelated...

Daily returns for stocks listed on the New York Exchange (NYSE) are not serially dependent. In contrast, order imbalances on the same stocks are highly persistent from day to day. These two empirical facts can be reconciled if sophisticated investors react to order imbalances within the trading...

We focus on an intuitive measure of trading activity: the aggregate daily order imbalance, buy orders less sell orders, on the NYSE. Order imbalance increases following market declines and vice versa, which reveals that investors are contrarians in aggregate. Order imbalances in either...

This paper exploits the intuition of the ICAPM to propose a measure that formally compares the empirical performance of competing asset pricing models in the presence of short selling constraints. In a multifactor context, portfolios are said to be efficient if they yield the highest expected...

We construct an earnings based zero-investment portfolio that is related to the business cycle. The portfolio, PMN, is long in stocks that have had high earnings changes in the last quarter and is short in stocks that have had low earnings changes in the last quarter. PMN is related to future...

Recent asset pricing research has suggested that expected returns are determined not only by systematic risk factors as proposed by equilibrium pricing theories but also by non-risk characteristics such as firm size and book-to-market. In a recent study, Gomes, Kogan, and Zhang (2001) reconcile...