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We propose a new methodology to construct core inflation which is, unlike other conventional methods, not based on ad hoc elimination/trimming of prices. The empirical results suggest that the proposed measure of core inflation is highly correlated with headline inflation and is noise free; hence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014127014
The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass level disaggretion of the CPI over 1990-2021, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015059656
We show that in both time-dependent and state-dependent sticky price models, prices of sticky price products (i.e. whose price changes rarely) contain more information about medium term inflation developments than those of flexible price products (i.e. whose price changes frequently). We do this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009760587
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The paper seeks to obtain an optimal asymmetric trimmed mean-based core inflation measure in the class of trimmed mean measures when the distribution of price changes is leptokurtic and skewed to the right for any given period. Several estimators based on asymmetric trimmed mean approach are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490118
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Trimmed-mean Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation does not clearly dominate ex-food-and-energy PCE inflation in real-time forecasting of headline PCE inflation. However, trimmed-mean inflation is the superior communications and policy tool because it is a less-biased real-time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030059
displayed by U.S. inflation data and discussing conceptual issues around measurement, we provide a unified framework to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015051935
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