Can the upturns and downturns in financial variables serve as early warning indicators of banking crises? Using data from 59 advanced and emerging economies, we show that financial overheating can be detected in real time. Equity prices and output gap are the best leading indicators in advanced...

The issues in today's crisis – and indeed in the most important crises, historically – can best be understood as a manifestation of asymmetric information in an environment of rapid financial innovation. The present paper reviews the asymmetric information and financial innovation frameworks...

In seinem Kommentar setzt sich Wernhard Möschel, Universität Tübingen, mit den staatlichen Verantwortlichkeiten für die Finanzkrise auseinander und diskutiert die staatlichen Maßnahmen bzw. Vorschläge zu ihrer Behebung.