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After having been considered as a public good during decades, electricity is now regarded as a tradable commodity in most developed countries. Since they were launched twenty years ago, electricity derivative markets exhibit sustained rises in their transaction volumes. Even if these markets are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099443
It is common to assert, in the literature on commodity derivative markets, that the behavior of futures prices is characterized by the "Samuelson Hypothesis": there is a decreasing pattern of volatilities along the prices curve. Despite some debates about statistical measurements, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790033
This article proposes an empirical study of the Samuelson effect in electricity markets. Our motivations are twofold. First, although the literature largely assesses the decreasing pattern in the volatilities along the price curve in commodity markets, it has not extensively tested the presence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973295
In this paper, I examine how financialization affects the term structure of risk premia by using an equilibrium model for commodity futures markets. I define financialization as the entry of cross-asset investors, who are exposed to a commodity risk, into a commodity market. Qualitatively, the...
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This article presents and compares two different Kalman filters. These methods provide a very interesting way to cope with the presence of non-observable variables, which is a frequent problem in finance. They are also very fast even in the presence of a large information volume. The first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005491319
Relying on conditional entropy and on the notion of information transfer, we investigate price relationships in the most important commodity futures market: the American crude oil market. We first show that the information shared by futures contracts with different delivery dates increases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096669