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crisis, however, they had problems keeping their profitability which is an important quantitative indicator for the health of … a bank and the banking sector overall. We use a large data set of bank-level balance sheet items and regional economic … estimators as ordinary least squares as well as autoregressive models in forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011701313
This paper analyzes the relation between bank profit performance and business models. To assess the profitability of … bank business models, we propose a new approach based on machine learning. In particular, we identify bank business models … using balance sheet components’ contributions to profitability as a grouping criterion. Thus, in contrast to previous works …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220274
-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature … for forecasting consumption developments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417502
-time out-of-sample forecasting comparison study with one of the most widely used data sets in the newer forecasting literature … for forecasting consumption developments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304069
This research aims at exploring whether simple trading strategies developed using state-ofthe-art Machine Learning (ML) algorithms can guarantee more than the risk-free rate of return or not. For this purpose, the direction of S&P 500 Index returns on every 6th day (SPYRETDIR6) and magnitude of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432999
research. Scientific aim: To identify applicability of leading economic indicators for bank's profitability forecasting … and practical point of view. Methodology/methods: Quantitative factors for forecasting commercial banks' profitability …Purpose of the article: Profitability is one of the most important ratios for performance measurement in any …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022181
across different horizons and real-time datasets. To further improve performances when forecasting with machine learning, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362630
expeditious response times. In out-of-sample forecasting, the Qual VAR outperforms a probit model. Improved forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235526
We test the usefulness of Machine Learning (ML) for sovereign risk assessment and pricing in the euro area along two important dimensions: i) their predictive accuracy compared to traditional econometrics methods and, ii) their assessment on what are the most important economic factors behind...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312793
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humankind this century. If left unchecked, it is likely to result in more frequent and severe climatic events, with the potential to cause substantial disruption to our economies, businesses and livelihoods in the coming decades. Yet the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012627188