We introduce the class of FloGARCH models in this paper. FloGARCH models provide a parsimonious joint model for low frequency returns and realized measures and are sufficiently flexible to capture long memory as well as asymmetries related to leverage effects. We analyze the performances of the...

For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers the stochastic volatility model with asymmetry and...

This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the

We introduce the class of FloGARCH models in this paper. FloGARCH models provide a parsimonious joint model for low frequency returns and realized measures and are sufficiently flexible to capture long memory as well as asymmetries related to leverage effects. We analyze the performances of the...

We observe from the late 1990s an increasing phenomenon of volatility on these following markets: Oil (WTI price), Foreign Exchange (nominal Euro/Dollar), Stock Market (S&P 500 Index) and Bond market (U.S.10-Year). After seizing the concept of volatility and overcoming its first definition of...

This paper investigates whether structural breaks and long memory are relevant features in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using three GARCH-type models, i.e., linear GARCH, GARCH with structural breaks and FIGARCH. By relying on a modified...

This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility and market risk of four widely traded commodities (crude oil, natural gas, gold, and silver). A broad set of the most popular linear and nonlinear GARCH-type models is used to...

This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility and market risk of four major commodities (crude oil, natural gas, gold, and sil- ver). A broad set of the most popular linear and nonlinear GARCH-type models is used to...

This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility and market risk of four widely traded commodities (crude oil, natural gas, gold, and silver). A broad set of the most popular linear and