Carriero, Andrea; Clark, Todd; Marcellino, Massimiliano - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2011
In this paper we discuss how the forecasting performance of Bayesian VARs is affected by a number of specification choices. In the baseline case, we use a Normal-Inverted Wishart (N-IW) prior that, when combined with a (pseudo-) iterated approach, makes the analytical computation of h-step ahead...