Este documento presenta una metodología para analizar la sostenibilidad de la deuda pública, que incorpora elementos que permiten cuantificar la incertidumbre del entorno macrofinanciero. El objetivo es identificar los riesgos, no solo bajo supuestos concretos, sino también teniendo en cuenta...

This paper presents a methodology for analysing public debt sustainability that incorporates factors that enable uncertainty in the macro-financial environment to be quantified. The aim is to identify risks, not only under specific assumptions, but also considering a complete characterisation of...

This paper assesses the possible development of government interest expenditures for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. Until 2021, governments could anticipate a substantial further reduction in interest expenditure. This outlook has changed drastically with the surge in inflation and government...

This paper has two main objectives. The first is to propose a policy architecture that can prevent a very high public debt from resulting in a high tax burden, a government default, or inflation. The second objective is to show that government deficits do not face a financing problem. After...