Australian time series for the nominal interest rate, real output, the nominal exchange rate, prices and nominal money since 1973 are characterized by a vector autoregressive process driven by five exogenous disturbances. Those disturbances are identified so that they can be interpreted as the...

This paper develops a model for optimal capital investment in continuous time when both existing and new capital stocks are subject to uncertainty. The model is generalized to allow for large and infrequent changes in the dynamics of the capital stock, which may arise as a result of natural and...

The central objective of this paper is to empirically evaluate the degree of linkages among East Asian equity and bond markets. The primary contribution of our paper to the empirical literature is that we use a financial gravity model grounded in economic theory. Using data from the...

A strand of theoretical and empirical evidence in the literature suggests non-linearity in the output-inflation relationship, viz. a non-linear Phillips curve. We develop a VAR model of output, inflation, and terms of trade augmented with logistic smooth transition autoregression specifications....

This paper proposes a new measure of potential output for the USA. The key idea is that potential output is constructed as the level of output which would correspond to a forecast of no inflation change over the policy horizon. The resultant output gap has a clear interpretation as a measure to...