We estimate a model for exchange rate dynamics when expectations present higher order beliefs. A structural macro model for exchange rates is proposed where agents form their one-step-ahead predictions under a Bayesian learning process and in which aggregation of their choices is considered into...

Can a bank increase its profi…t by subsidizing inactivity? This paper suggests this may occur, due to the presence of hidden information, in a monopolistic credit market. Rather than offering credit in a pooling contract, a monopolist bank can sort borrowers through an appropriate subsidy to...

This paper provides a simply theory to explain the impact of sanctions on a regime's policies and behavior. Sanctions are generally put to strip the target country from its available rents and weaken the government's stance against growing discontent in the population. We show however that...

This article investigates the impact of credit allocation on heterogeneous wealth entrepreneurs. We show that with decreasing risk aversion and unobservable wealth, poorer borrowers exert more effort. As a consequence of endogenous adverse selection, they are either excluded from the market or...