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Im abgelaufenen Jahr hatte Sachsen dank seiner industriellen Stärke das höchste Wachstum unter den neuen Bundesländern … des Arbeitsmarktes wird sich die Zahl der Erwerbstätigen allerdings nur geringfügig erhöhen und die Arbeitslosigkeit wird …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037097
In this paper, we assess the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts at the regional level using a unique data set at quarterly frequency. We forecast gross domestic product (GDP) for two German states (Free State of Saxony and Baden-Württemberg) and Eastern Germany. We overcome the problem of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288471
The objective of this paper is to identify classes of regions presenting different economic situations and apply a join-count test to examine spatial dependences between these classes. The test examines spatial autocorrelation on the basis of qualitative data. The global join-count test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998168
Regional labour markets in the 'Great Recession': The evolution of regional unemployment rates in Germany, France and the United Kingdom in 2009. Contrary to the already encompassing literature on the differentiated effects of the 'Great Recession' on states, the article takes a regional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293336
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010329115
This paper assesses the impact of the crisis on the NEET rate and on the youth unemployment rate (YUR) of the EU regions. It begins with a review of the literature and presents some descriptive statistics on NEET and YURs. We use Eurostat's data for the period 2000-2011 concerning the NUTS-1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011535393
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073937
Using newly digitized unemployment insurance claims data we construct a historical monthly unemployment series for U.S. states going back to January 1947. The constructed series are highly correlated with the Bureau of Labor Statics' state-level unemployment data, which are only available from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013164115
Routine-intensive occupations have been declining in many countries, but how does this affect individual workers' careers if this decline is particularly severe in their local labor market? This paper uses administrative data from Germany and a matched difference-in-differences approach to show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013209365
The persistence of U.S. unemployment has risen with each of the last three recessions, raising the specter that future U.S. recessions might look more like the Eurosclerosis experience of the 1980s than traditional V-shaped recoveries of the past. In this paper, we revisit possible explanations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061955