A review of the theoretical properties of the GMM with a continuum of moment conditions is presented. Numerical methods for its implementation are discussed. A simulation study based on the stable distribution and an empirical application based on the autoregressive variance Gamma model are...

We design adaptive realized kernels to estimate the integrated volatility in a framework that combines a stochastic volatility model with leverage effect for the efficient price and a semiparametric microstructure noise model specified at the highest frequency. Some time dependence parameters of...

A review of the theoretical properties of the GMM with a continuum of moment conditions is presented. Numerical methods for its implementation are discussed. A simulation study based on the stable distribution and an empirical application based on the autoregressive variance Gamma model are...

Connor and Lande (2006) conducted a survey of cartel overcharge estimates and found an average in the range of 31% to 49%. By examining more sources, Connor (2010b) finds a median of 23.3% for all type of cartels and a mean of 50.4% for successful cartels. However, the data used in these studies...

A curse of dimensionality arises when using the Continuum-GMM procedure to estimate large dimensional models. Two solutions are proposed, both of which convert the high di- mensional model into a continuum of reduced information sets. Under certain regularity conditions, each reduced information...

We design adaptive realized kernels to estimate the integrated volatility in a framework that combines a stochastic volatility model with leverage effect for the efficient price and a semiparametric microstructure noise model speci…ed at the highest frequency. Some time dependence parameters of...

The determination of optimal fines to deter the formation or continuation of cartels is a major objective of competition policy. We provide an analysis of static and dynamic frameworks to characterize the restitution and deterrence properties of fines: cartel stability depends on their ability...

The method of moments proposed by Carrasco and Florens (2000) permits to fully exploit the information contained in the characteristic function and yields an estimator which is asymptotically as efficient as the maximum likelihood estimator. However, this estimation procedure depends on a...

The estimation of cartel overcharges lies at the heart of antitrust policy on cartel prosecution as it constitutes a key element in the determination of fines. Connor and Lande (2008) conducted a survey of cartels and found a mean overcharge estimate in the range of 31% to 49%. By examining more...

This paper tackles the prediction of the probability and severity of US recessions. We employ parsimonious Probit models to estimate the probability of a recession h periods ahead, for h varying between 1 and 8 quarters. A novel goodness-of-fit measure derived from the Kullback-Leibler...