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The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability …
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In this paper we document the asymmetric role that the U.S. stock market plays in the international predictability of ….S. returns in predictability of stock returns in 10 industrialised countries. …
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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
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