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Motivated by psychological evidence on limited investor attention and anchoring, we propose two proxies for the degree to which traders under- and over-react to news, namely, the nearness to the Dow 52-week high and the nearness to the Dow historical high, respectively. We find that nearness to...
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Research examining the usefulness of non-linear models for stock market returns has almost reached an impasse. While there is general recognition of the superior ability of non-linear models to describe the data, there is less certainty about their ability to forecast the data. As such simple...
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slope, and of its components, helps improve the short-run predictability of equity excess returns …
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In the paper, we show a significant economic linkage between analyst EPS forecast skewness and cross section stock returns. The effect on stock return of our skewness measure is quite different from that based on skewness calculated from options or high frequency data. Literature shows that,...
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