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We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
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Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …
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find on a daily basis, an abnormally high volatility only within one day following the overnight announcement. On an … intraday basis, a striking volatility spike stands out during the overnight period, implying that the earnings news is fully … reflected in the opening price. The continued high volatility during the first several minutes of trading seems to be driven by …
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We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
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