Rosenzweig, Mark; Udry, Christopher - Economic Growth Center, Economics Department - 2014
We look at the effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages over the course of … the agricultural production cycle. We show theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting … stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages …