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heterogeneous inflation expectations. Expectations are updated through social dynamics and, with heterogeneity, not all firms choose …
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We study zero interest-rate policy in response to a large negative demand shock when long-run expectations can fall … over time. Because falling expectations make monetary policy less effective by raising real interest rates, the optimal … forward guidance policy makes large front-loaded promises to stabilize expectations. Policy is too stimulatory in the event of …
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Using survey data from 25 economies we provide evidence that greater transparency surrounding monetary policy reduces uncertainty of interest rates and inflation, primarily by reducing uncertainty that is common to agents rather than disagreement between agents. This suggests that studies that...
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We analyze credible forward guidance policies in a sticky-price model with an effective lower bound (ELB) constraint on nominal interest rates by solving a series of optimal sustainable policy problems indexed by the duration of reputational loss. Lower-for-longer policies --- while effective in...
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