In this paper, we investigate whether monetary policy has asymmetric effects on U.S. equity REIT returns by using Markov-switching models. We adopt a number of measures of monetary policy. We find substantial regime switching in the response to a monetary policy action that corresponds to "boom"...

In this paper, we apply the alternative long-horizon regression approach proposed by Fisher and Seater (1993) to study the long-run relationship between nominal exchange rates and fundamentals. We find evidence supporting the explanatory power of exchange rate models. In particular, the...

In this paper, we revisit bear market predictability by employing a number of variables widely used in forecasting stock returns. In particular, we focus on variables related to the presence of imperfect credit markets. We evaluate prediction performance using in-sample and out-of-sample tests....

In this paper, we revisit bear market predictability by employing a number of variables widely used in forecasting stock returns. In particular, we focus on variables related to the presence of imperfect credit markets. We evaluate prediction performance using in-sample and out-of-sample tests....