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We investigate the role of jumps in transmitting volatility between foreign exchange markets (Engle, Ito, and Lin, 1990 … different implications for the impact of jumps on exchange rate volatility transmission. Specifically, isolated and successive … jumps have opposite predictions for future volatility. Although the realized volatility literature finds that heat wave …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951615
assumptions of jumps in prices and leverage effects for volatility. Findings suggest that daily-data models are preferred to HF …-data models at 5% and 1% VaR level. Specifically, independently from the data frequency, allowing for jumps in price (or providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819006
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
assumptions of jumps in prices and leverage effects for volatility. Findings suggest that daily-data models are preferred to HF …-data models at 5% and 1% VaR level. Specifically, independently from the data frequency, allowing for jumps in price (or providing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
of explicitly modeling jumps in this class of models for value at risk (VaR) prediction. Several popular realized … on empirical data of eight Chinese stocks. The results suggest that careful modeling of jumps in realized volatility … models can largely improve VaR prediction, especially for emerging markets where jumps play a stronger role than those in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636101
We develop novel methods for estimation and filtering of continuous-time models with stochastic volatility and jumps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263469
Recent years have seen an expansion of carbon markets around the world as various policymakers attempt to reduce CO2 emissions. This paper considers two of the major types of carbon permits: European Union Allowances (EUAs, arising from the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme, EU ETS) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729490
The paper proposes the thorough investigation of the in-sample and out-of-sample performance of four GARCH and two stochastic volatility models, which were estimated based on Russian financial data. The data includes Aeroflot and Gazprom’s stock prices, and the rouble against the US dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098900
random jumps. The common factor is parameterized as a permanent component using a compound binomial process. This model can … capture common jumps in the latent volatilities between markets, with particular relevance in the presence of crises and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011191199
We suggest a joint analysis of ex-post intra-day variability in an option and its associated underlying asset market as a novel means of validating an option pricing model. For this purpose, we introduce the notion of option realized variance, by which we mean the cumulative variance realized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010630436