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We analyse with an event study approach the stock market reaction to Lehman Brothers' filing for chapter 11. Our inquiry on abnormal returns of about 2,700 stocks around the event date documents that RiskMetrics-KLD indexes capture factors affecting investors' reaction to the shock. We also find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370585
This paper investigates inter-relationships among the price behavior of oil, gold and the euro using time series and neural network methodologies. Traditionally gold is a leading indicator of future inflation. Both the demand and supply of oil as a key global commodity are impacted by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370818
While most everyone would agree that valuations matter, the question remains as to whether clients with a long-term outlook (such as those planning for retirement) can hope to act successfully on information about valuations. This article provides favorable evidence based on the historical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009370846
We conduct the first high-frequency comparison of pricing behaviour in betting markets making use of a novel dataset of prices from the UK's two largest bookmakers and the world's largest betting exchange. We investigate price competitiveness, finding that the betting exchange structure offers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371042
In this paper, we study the determinants of daily spreads for emerging market sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) over the period April 2002–December 2011. Using GARCH models, we find, first, that daily CDS spreads for emerging market sovereigns are more related to global and regional risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371452
This paper studies the impact of uncertainty on the investors' reactions to news on macroeconomic statistics. With daily data on realized volatility and trading volume, we show that the investors in the US Treasury bond futures market react significantly stronger to US macroeconomic news in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207864
We analyze the impact of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank) on corporate bond ratings issued by credit rating agencies (CRAs). We find no evidence that Dodd-Frank disciplines CRAs to provide more accurate and informative credit ratings. Instead, following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208260
We investigate the role of trade credit links in generating cross-border return predictability between international firms. Using data from 43 countries from 1993 to 2009, we find that firms with high trade credit located in producer countries have stock returns that are strongly predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208266
Changes in monetary policy have surprisingly strong effects on forward real rates in the distant future. A 100 basis point increase in the two-year nominal yield on a Federal Open Markets Committee announcement day is associated with a 42 basis point increase in the ten-year forward real rate....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208269
This paper investigates the influence of structural changes on the asymmetry of volatility spillovers, asset allocation and portfolio diversification between the USD/euro exchange market and each of six major spot petroleum markets including WTI, Europe Brent, kerosene, gasoline and propane....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208295