Expectations of firms and households about the future trajectory of inflation tend to influence their current investment and consumption/saving decisions, and the price and wage-setting behaviour. By firmly anchoring inflation expectations, monetary policy can prevent a wage-price spiral and...

Post-COVID, supply shock-induced spike in inflation in India has spawned renewed research interest in assessing the extent to which inflation expectations are anchored to the inflation target, given its importance to securing price stability in the medium run. This article constructs a...

The sub-prime lessons have left many unpleasant policy challenges, and the emerging dilemma for the policy-making community is that while there are no easy answers to many of these complex questions, in the absence of clearer policy positions on most of them the financial systems may continue to...

In India, there is a large divergence between CPI and WPI inflation trends in the past, wide dispersion in inflation across commodity groups within WPI, and significant volatility in headline WPI inflation under the influence of supply shocks, the statistical limitations of prices data have...

Every financial crisis leaves behind important lessons, while exposing the limitations of the policy framework for preventing a systemic crisis. The sub-prime crisis has seriously dented the credibility of every institution vested with the responsibility for promoting financial stability....

Using area-wide data, we perform a VAR analysis to simulate the responses of inflation and real output following monetary shocks in the EMU. We find that short-term interest rate shocks have a significant impact on real activity, but hardly on prices. M3 shows a perverse short-term response to a...

In the policy debate on growth--inflation trade-off and the role of monetary policy in managing the trade-off in the short-run, theoretical and empirical research suggests the presence of a country specific threshold level of inflation. Empirical findings of this paper suggest that for India the...

Contagion from the global crisis necessitated use of fiscal stimulus measures in India during 2008-10 in order to contain a major slowdown in economic growth. Given the usual downward inflexibility of fiscal deficit once it reaches a high level, as has been experienced by India in the past,...