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We find that the acceleration and deceleration patterns of historical prices are predictive of future expected returns in momentum investing in the U.S. equity market from 1962 to 2014. Winners with accelerated historical price increases deliver higher future expected returns and losers with...
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Previous studies have focused on which stocks are winners or losers but have paid little attention to the formation process of past returns. This paper develops a model showing that past returns and the formation process of past returns have a joint effect on future expected returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022151
This study examines the interactions between trading strategies based on the nearness to the 52-week high, the nearness to the 52-week low, and past returns. We offer evidence that the nearness to the 52-week low has predictive power for future average returns. Our results also reveal that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988620
As a visual mode of analysis is more intuitive to human cognition than algebraic numbers, we propose that the visual pattern of historical prices is a salient signal that attracts attention; thereby inducing overreaction. We construct a long-short portfolio, including the stocks that are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063508
Using an intraday transaction dataset with trader identity, we study foreign and domestic investors' trading activities and investment performance ahead of open-ending events of Taiwanese closed-end funds. Simply buying the funds at a discount and holding until open ending generates large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714461
Kosowski, Timmermann, Wermers, and White (2006) find that certain growth-oriented fund managers have substantial skill but do not stipulate the particular skills that they possess. We use novel factor timing models to examine in detail the timing skills of 3,181 US equity mutual funds classified...
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