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Financial Crisis Observatory (FCO) at ETH Zurich, of the bubble regime that developed in Chinese stock markets since mid-2014 … and that started to burst in June 2015. The analysis is based on (i) the economic theory of rational expectation bubbles … methodology to diagnose the SSEC bubble and its termination is also given …
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We develop a parsimonious model of bubbles based on the assumption of imprecisely known market depth. In a speculative … bubble, traders drive the price above its fundamental value in a dynamic way, driven by rational expectations about future … price developments. At a previously unknown date, the bubble will endogenously burst. We provide a general condition for the …
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