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industry-level external economic forces. We find that for such firms, the relative earnings forecast accuracy of analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855995
analysts' forecast revisions and prior stock price changes. We validate this measure by examining whether analysts with lower …. We find that the stock price impacts of forecast revisions issued by analysts with higher PPI are larger than those … of directors rely more on analysts' forecast errors in their CEO turnover decisions when firms are followed by analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857457
We use the copula approach to study the structure of dependence between sell-side analysts' consensus recommendations and subsequent security returns, with a focus on asymmetric tail dependence. We match monthly vintages of I/B/E/S recommendations for the period January to December 2011 with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026393
present a model in which forecast accuracy and timing are affected by information uncertainty stemming from (i) the presence … of forecast bias and (ii) investors' limited capability to adjust to this bias. We assume that the presence of a bias is … affects the trade-off between timeliness and forecast quality. We find that the optimal forecasting time varies non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928822
Prior research on financial analyst' quarterly earnings forecasts has documented serial correlation in forecast errors …. This paper examines the way serial correlation in quarterly earnings forecast errors varies with firm and analyst … correlation in forecast errors is significant and seemingly independent of firm and analyst attributes, I model consensus forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934484
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Risk forecasting is crucial for informed investment decision-making. Moreover, the salience of investment risk increases during economically uncertain times. In this paper, we study how sell-side analysts form expectations of firm risk, under different macroeconomic conditions (low versus high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829616
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