Do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) discussions contain additional information for Taylor rule estimation? While researchers usually estimate a Taylor rule with official forecasts of the output gap and inflation, this paper sheds light on the importance of additional information contained in...

I propose a new approach to identify exogenous monetary policy shocks that requires no priors on the underlying macroeconomic structure, nor any observation of monetary policy actions. My approach entails directly estimating the unexpected changes in the federal funds rate as those which cannot...

Does it matter what the central bank had said during a monetary policy announcement? The paper proposes a new approach to identifying the effects of forward guidance taking into account what the central bank had said and how financial markets perceived it. I use computational linguistic methods...