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Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low … inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons … for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy prices since the beginning of 2021. However, there are further …
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mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …
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This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
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In the past five years, the inflation in the euro area has been well below the European Central Bank’s (ECB) aimed … inflation rate of close to but below two percent for achieving its objective of price stabilization in the medium term. The … present analysis shows that expectations of low inflation, rising cyclical unemployment, and external factors such as low …
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We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do … so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual … expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching in the mean and variance of the fiscal deficit probability density …
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