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In this paper, we apply Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) and Bayesian model averaging (BMA) as an automatic modeling procedures for two well-known macroeconometric models: UK demand for narrow money and long-term inflation. Empirical results verify the correctness of BACE and BMA...
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shifting the pattern of behaviour. We show a change in the correlation between each of the three variables with stock returns …. Notably, a predominantly negative correlation with bond yields and inflation becomes positive, while the opposite is true for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813273
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The Multiplicative MIDAS Realized DCC (MMReDCC) model simultaneously accounts for short and long term dynamics in the conditional (co)volatilities of asset returns, in line with the empirical evidence suggesting that their level is changing over time as a function of economic conditions. Herein...
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dynamic leverage mechanism. The correlation-adjusted variant outperforms the naive implementation of the strategy and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905544
Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modeling multivariate distributions, allowing the researcher to specify the models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to form a joint distribution. In addition to flexibility,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025232