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forecasting model necessary in the MNB. The model represents a small open economy. It is based on the DSGE philosophy but it … deviates from it at several points. The new features of the model, compared to previous forecasting models of the MNB, are that … analysis, and the model fits into the MNB’s forecasting framework successfully. …
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, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
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from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
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We study a model with repeated moral hazard where financial contracts are not fully indexed to inflation because nominal prices are observed with delay as in Jovanovic & Ueda (1997). More constrained firms sign contracts that are less indexed to the nominal price and, as a result, their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852858
We study the transmission of monetary shocks across euro-area countries using a dynamic factor model and high-frequency identification. We develop a methodology to assess the degree of heterogeneity, which we find to be low in financial variables and output, but significant in consumption,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828237
This paper examines the role of the precautionary demand for liquidity and the interest on reserves as two potential determinants of the deposits channel that can help explain the role of monetary policy, particularly at the near zero-bound. At high levels of precautionary liquidity hoarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810801
the current monetary policy framework and the challenges in transitioning towards FFIT. Given that forecasting is central … to FFIT, we develop a practical model-based forecasting and policy analysis system (FPAS) to support transition to FFIT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486242