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ability to that of character skills, and find that both cognition and personality affect behavior and learning. More agreeable … of play towards Nash equilibrium in repeated strategic interactions. We study behavior in a p-beauty contest experiment … understand better how subjects with different cognitive abilities learn differently, we estimate a structural model of learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364492
elicited data. As an illustration, the methodology is applied to a double auction experiment, where traders' beliefs about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653425
elicited data. As an illustration, the methodology is applied to a double auction experiment, where traders' beliefs about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014171499
become extremely and wrongly confident about the state of the world -- Social learning ; Non-Bayesian updating ; Herding …We revisit the economic models of social learning by assuming that individuals update their beliefs in a non … heterogeneous updating rules in a simple social learning environment reconciles equilibrium predictions with laboratory evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003924223
We study perfect Bayesian equilibria of a sequential social learning model in which agents in a network learn about an … neighbors are mutually independent. We introduce a new metric of information diffusion in social learning, which is weaker than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011673206
We experimentally investigate how price expectations are formed in a large asset market where subjects' only task is to forecast the future price of a risky asset. The realized prices depend on these expectations. We observe small (6 participants) and large markets (about 100 participants). In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
We study social learning in a social network setting where agents receive independent noisy signals about the truth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011801379
individual's intrinsic ability and on an external variable. We analyze the mistakes made by decision-makers who hold inaccurate … external factors if they fail. They are too easily dissatisfied with their environment, which leads them to experiment in … variable environments and revise their self-confidence over time. In contrast, underconfident decision-makers might be trapped …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930663
heuristic, gambler’s fallacy and hot hand fallacy—on the mechanisms of stock market decision making and, in particular, the … decision-making technique will most likely accept other techniques as well. Furthermore, we determine that the correlation … on simplifying decision-making techniques in general or to reject all of them. Alternatively, this finding may suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009770254
JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964368