This paper studies the impact of the state-dependent risk of a government default on the correlation of the scal balance and current account. We use a small open economy model where nonlinear risk premia arise endogenously when the government operates close to its scal limit, i.e. the maximum...

Die Staatsschuldenkrise im Euroraum kann kurzfristig nicht gelöst werden: Die finanzielle Unterstützung für die Schuldnerstaaten reicht nicht aus, deren Austeritätsprogramme wirken zu restriktiv und die Mitgliedsländer sind nicht bereit, auf Fiskalkompetenz zu verzichten. Die Autoren...

Recurrent concerns over debt sustainability in emerging and developed nations have prompted renewed debate on the role of fiscal rules. Their optimality, however, remains unclear. We provide a quantitative analysis of fiscal rules in a standard model of sovereign debt accumulation and default...

This paper studies the effect of implementing fiscal rules on sovereign default risk and on the probability of large capital ow reversals for a large sample of countries including both developed and emerging market economies. Results indicate that fiscal rules are beneficial for macroeconomic...