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Europe will be challenged by demographic changes over the next few decades, even under favourable assumptions about fertility and migration, but the economic effects are not yet fully understood. This paper studies the effects of population ageing on economic growth, capital deepening and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417455
We study the effect of railroad access on urban population growth. Using GIS techniques, we match triennial population data for roughly 1,000 cities in nineteenth-century Prussia to georeferenced maps of the German railroad network. We find positive short- and long-term effects of having a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489837
We analyze the effects of declining population growth on automation. A simple theoretical model of capital accumulation predicts that countries with lower population growth introduce automation technologies earlier. We test the theoretical prediction on panel data for 60 countries over the time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639365
We analyze the long-run growth effects of automation in the standard overlap- ping generations framework. We show that, in contrast to other neoclassical models of capital accumulation, automation does not promote growth but induces economic stagnation. The reason is that automation suppresses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011620627
Over the coming century, computer technology is likely to become capable of reproducing a large portion of the tasks performed by human labor. This paper develops a model of the aggregate economic growth that results when work tasks are transferred from humans to physical capital. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062624
Using an expanding-variety endogenous growth model with purposive human capital accumulation, this paper provides an alternative explanation of why we may observe an ambiguous correlation between product market competition (PMC) and economic growth, and between population and economic growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010682462
We show that the long-run economic growth effect of an increase in the retirement age is unambiguously positive in research and development based endogenous growth models. This contrasts recent findings based on models of learning-by-doing-spillovers, in which an increase in the retirement age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011567734
Education is added to the standard Neoclassical growth model by calibrating a human capital technology to the empirical evidence on schooling. Simulation experiments patterned after King and Rebelo (1993 American Economic Review 83, 908--931) are conducted. When agents act as if they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014141008
Post-Keynesian macrodynamics is designed to extend the role of demand in the determination of real economic outcomes beyond the short run. The purpose of this paper is to highlight the importance of supply-side considerations in demand-led growth. Building on existing features of the supply side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433729
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490586